The Washington Post is doing it’s civic duty today and trying to scare the hell out of you, because the swine flu is coming to kill you!
“‘The virus is still around and ready to explode,’ said William Schaffner, an influenza expert at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine who advises federal health officials. ‘We’re potentially looking at a very big mess.’”
This is bad! Get out your health masks!
“‘This is something that we could see here soon,’ said Arnold S. Monto, a University of Michigan infectious-disease expert who advises the World Health Organization, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and other federal health agencies.” “‘We have to be worried about our ability to handle a surge of severe cases.’”
Lock your family away! To the bomb shelter!
“‘This epidemic will transmit faster than usual, because the population is more susceptible,’ said Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology at the Harvard School of Public Health who has been helping the CDC project the severity of the upcoming wave.”
GOOD LORD!!!!
Oh wait. What was that in the 8th paragraph?
“So far, no signs have emerged that the virus has mutated into a more dangerous form. Most people who become infected seem to experience relatively mild illness.”
Wait, wait. This is a multi-thousand word piece on how the world is coming to an end, but most people only get mildly ill? And this is from the Southern Hemisphere where it is currently winter and, hence, flu season?
In fact, an average flu season “hospitalizes an estimated 200,000 Americans and contributes to 36,000 deaths.” Only 436 attributed to swine flu in the U.S. so far. And “most of those who have developed serious illness and died have had other health problems.” So we are freaking out because…?
“The last flu pandemic, the 1968-69 Hong Kong flu, was the mildest of the 20th century, contributing to perhaps 1 million deaths worldwide, including about 34,000 in the United States.”
In 1969 the U.S. population was at about 202 million or about two-thirds of today’s population. Meaning that if the swine flu were to have the same effect as the Hong Kong flu, that would put the death toll at about 15,000 more than the average flu season. .00005% of Americans. What amazing odds. But they did say the Hong Kong flu was mild, so let’s say swine flu is twice as bad. You are .0001% more likely to die than from just an average flu. Kill yourself now to avoid the pain.
Some might say the Post and others are being sensationalists. If that were true, would they really add this:
“In Kenya, white-coated health workers have been passing out questionnaires at the Nairobi airport and putting up glossy posters about the virus on the walls of downtown cafes. False alarms about the virus have spawned a sense of panic in some places. When a health clinic in a Nairobi mall recently suspected a patient of being infected, word leaked out and soon shoppers were sending out text messages across the city warning people to stay away. The clinic was shut down for a day.”
Go Media, Go! Rah-rah!